{"id":18,"date":"2012-11-13T03:11:41","date_gmt":"2012-11-13T03:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/?p=18"},"modified":"2013-10-06T18:41:44","modified_gmt":"2013-10-06T18:41:44","slug":"estimating-marathon-time","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/2012\/11\/13\/estimating-marathon-time\/","title":{"rendered":"Estimating Marathon time"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>from Max Jones:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.valleystriders.org.uk\/calcmar1.htm\">http:\/\/www.valleystriders.org.uk\/calcmar1.htm<\/a><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The par time is 2 hours plus your age in minutes, plus another 10% if you are female. \u00a0(2:48)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">This will be achieved, after a year or so of effective training, if, in the last 13 weeks before the race &#8211; excluding the week of the race but counting the miles in all 13 calendar weeks prior to that &#8211; you\u2019ve recorded an average of 55 miles per week.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">More mileage than that contributes nothing. But for every mile per week less than 55, add one minute to your race time. \u00a0(3:28)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Provided, though, you\u2019re not overweight. Par weight for men is 2 lbs per inch of height minus 5 lbs; for women 2 lbs per inch minus 15. Every pound over these weights adds 2 seconds per mile to your pace, say a minute to your marathon time. \u00a0(4:30)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Weather: add 2 seconds per mile for every degree (Celsius) by which shade temperatures exceed 18 deg C.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">If it\u2019s humid as well as hot, add 1 second per mile for every percentage point the relative humidity exceeds 65%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">On a windy day, add 1 second per mile for every mile per hour that the headwind exceeds 10mph : deduct 1 second per mile for every 2mph that the tailwind exceeds 20mph.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">If the race director describes the course as &#8220;testing&#8221;, &#8220;undulating&#8221;, or more honestly &#8220;hilly&#8221;, add anything up to 5 minutes. e.g. the Sheffield course carries a handicap of 3 minutes for the 3 hour runner.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Now the positive bit. If you average, over the 13 weeks (see 2), one (short) hill times 10 repetition session or one (short) speed session per week, take off 4% from whatever 1 to 4 calculates to. For an average 1\u00bd sessions per week, take off 8%. For 2 hill\/speed sessions per week, take off 12%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">That\u2019s it. But you can throw it all away by going faster at the start than the calculated pace and trying to put &#8220;minutes in the bank&#8221;. Remember minute banks charge at least 4 times as much for overdrafts as they allow on deposits, every second per mile you run too fast in the first 10 miles will cost you at least 4 seconds per mile in the last 10 miles.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>Other Calculators<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.jeffgalloway.com\/resources\/gallracepredict.html\">Jeff Galloway Magic Mile<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/feelrace.com\/marathonperfect.html\">MARCO method<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.runnersworld.co.uk\/general\/rws-race-time-predictor\/1681.html\">Runner&#8217;s World<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.mcmillanrunning.com\/index.php\/calcUsage\/calculate\">McMillian Running<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.runningahead.com\/tools\/calculators\/race\">Based on 2 distances<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>from Max Jones:\u00a0http:\/\/www.valleystriders.org.uk\/calcmar1.htm The par time is 2 hours plus your age in minutes, plus another 10% if you are female. \u00a0(2:48) This will be achieved, after a year or so of effective training, if, in the last 13 weeks<span class=\"ellipsis\">&hellip;<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/2012\/11\/13\/estimating-marathon-time\/\">Read more &#8250;<\/a><\/div>\n<p><!-- end of .read-more --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38,"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18\/revisions\/38"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/athletetechnology.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}